In response to recent rumours circulating on social media, the Nigerian military high command has firmly denied receiving any request or intention to disrupt the democratic system of governance in the country.
The Defence Headquarters had expressed concern over comments suggesting the Armed Forces might intervene in the democratic process due to alleged grievances regarding the welfare of troops.
In reaction to this rumour, in a statement released by Brig. Gen. Tukur Gusau, the Director of Defence Information, the military clarified that there was no truth to these claims.
Brig. Gen. Gusau’s statement, which was released on Sunday, emphasized the military’s loyalty to the democratic system and the current President, His Excellency President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
He stressed that the Armed Forces of Nigeria remained committed to upholding the constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria and had no intention of engaging in any form of political interference.
The Defence Headquarters condemned the dissemination of false and misleading information, attributing such reports to individuals with malicious intent who aimed to undermine the nation’s progress and well-being.
The security agencies have initiated a manhunt to identify and apprehend those responsible for spreading these baseless rumours. The statement concluded by urging the public to reject such falsehoods and unite in safeguarding the nation’s democratic principles.
As the country navigates these challenges, it is imperative for citizens to remain vigilant and supportive of the democratic process, ensuring that the stability and growth of Nigeria are not compromised by unfounded claims.
However, should Nigerians worry about this rumour? It is difficult to see why this rumour should just be wished away. Military coup is not impossible in Nigeria. Historically, various factors have contributed to coup attempts in different countries, including political instability, dissatisfaction with the government, economic challenges, ethnic or tribal tensions, and power struggles within the military itself.
In the case of Nigeria, which has experienced several military coups in the past, these factors could potentially play a role in any coup-related discussions. So, without argument, the conditions for coup sure do exist in Nigeria, but the question is, do those who have the capacity to strike have the incentive to do so?
The Hausa/Fulani is in full control of every unit of the security apparatus in the country, especially the Nigerian military. It is difficult to see how a successful coup can be hatched and executed without their blessing. The current government of President Bola Tinubu is the brainchild of the northern political oligarchy.
What is likely happening now. President Bola Tinubu at the moment is certainly not letting his guard down. Internal vigilance must be top-notch within his security kitchen cabinet to ensure there are no lapses and there is no room for manoeuvre for those with such motive.
The president may also be under some pressure now to further placate the Hausa/Fulani block to dissuade any overwhelming support for political power so soon after the eight years of Muhammadu Buhari.
To achieve this, the President would most likely be acquiescing in certain areas to assuage northern interest. This is the reality of politics and power in Nigeria since the end of the country’s civil war in 1970.
What the President must not ignore. Notwithstanding, the obvious pressure from the north, addressing economic, social, and political inequalities among different tribes should not be neglected. A fair distribution of resources and opportunities can alleviate feelings of marginalization that could fuel support for a coup.
Encouraging national identity and unity over tribal identity can also counteract divisive sentiments. Democracy, strong institutions, inclusivity, and equitable development are key to preventing coup attempts based on tribal sentiments.
While the Nigerian military has categorically denied any involvement in plans to overthrow the government, the spread of such rumours raises questions about the overall stability of the nation.
